ExpandGrowth ModeHistorical (simulated)
What the operating posture was in 2025
This year, operate in Growth Mode mode: commit to growth investments, scale core winners, and maintain payback discipline. Capital is cheap and risk appetite is healthy. Move quickly to capture share.
Standing guidance: commit to growth investments, scale core winners, and maintain payback discipline
Closed period ending Dec 31, 2025. This record does not change.
Operating constraints that applied
- Prioritize speed and distribution over polish.
- Accept controlled waste to win market share.
- Invest ahead of demand where signals are strong.
How the period actually split
Derived from 52 weekly readings inside 2025.
- Expand88% · 46 of 52
- Guarded Expand12% · 6 of 52
Posture changes inside 2025
- Feb 7, 2025Expand → Guarded Expand
- Mar 7, 2025Guarded Expand → Expand
- Apr 18, 2025Expand → Guarded Expand
- Apr 25, 2025Guarded Expand → Expand
- Jul 4, 2025Expand → Guarded Expand
- Jul 11, 2025Guarded Expand → Expand
Signals of record
- Policy base rate (1M)3.74%
- US Treasury 2Y3.47%
- US Treasury 10Y4.18%
- Yield curve slope (10Y - 2Y)0.71%
Source: US Treasury Daily Treasury Yield Curve Rates (via FRED) · View series
Quarter by quarter
- Q1 2025 — Expandscale the strongest plays, invest in growth engines, and keep payback discipline steady
- Q2 2025 — Expandscale the strongest plays, invest in growth engines, and keep payback discipline steady
- Q3 2025 — Expandscale the strongest plays, invest in growth engines, and keep payback discipline steady
- Q4 2025 — Expandscale the strongest plays, invest in growth engines, and keep payback discipline steady
Browse another year
What is the posture now?
2025 is a closed record. The current call, what to do this week, and what would flip it live on the weekly brief.
Open this week's brief