Weekly operating brief
Sunny • Live • As of Sep 10, 2026
Compare two periods
Signals and operating calls for any two past months, side by side.
Difference
What changed between them
Operating latitude change
-24 pts
Period A is more defensive
Yield curve slope change
-0.08%
Spread diff: 0.39% vs 0.47%
Credit spread change
0.00%
Risk premium: 1.51% vs 1.51%
Sunny — Late (Fragile)
“The call turned slightly more defensive this week.”
Rules in period A
Hiring window: Constrained
Expansion pace: Open
Fundraising window: Narrowing
Action now
Prioritize revenue-linked and reliability roles with staged approvals
Pause if
Funding pressure rises above 76 or risk appetite falls below 44
Change course if
Funding pressure rises above 70 (74 today), which flips the call to Cloudy.
Signals in period A
| Funding pressure | 74.0 |
| Risk appetite | 56.0 |
| Fed interest rate (1M/3M) | 3.91% |
| Recession warning gauge (10Y−2Y) | 0.39% |
| Corporate borrowing premium (BBB) | 1.51% |
| Inflation (CPI, year over year) | 3.35% |
| Unemployment rate | 4.1% |
Sunny — Late
“The call is holding steady this week.”
Rules in period B
Hiring window: Strong
Expansion pace: Open
Fundraising window: Stable
Action now
Slow approvals, require reversible bets, and cap new experiments until disagreement clears.
Pause if
Pause irreversible approvals while the policy override remains active.
Change course if
Resume normal posture changes only after policy disagreement clears and the weekly flip thresholds recover.
Signals in period B
| Funding pressure | 0.0 |
| Risk appetite | 59.0 |
| Fed interest rate (1M/3M) | 0.05% |
| Recession warning gauge (10Y−2Y) | 0.47% |
| Corporate borrowing premium (BBB) | 1.51% |
| Inflation (CPI, year over year) | 3.35% |
| Unemployment rate | 4.1% |
Current posture
Pick any two past months below to compare their signals and operating rules side by side.
Weekly Brief