Whether

Market Climate Station

Signals refreshed Feb 23, 2026, 8:41 AM

Whether report

Action playbook · Briefings

Draft strategy narratives and export leadership-ready briefing kits.Explore details →

Draft strategy brief

Narrate now

Turn the regime signal into a board-ready story.

Signals are live; use them to confirm playbook moves and decision shields.

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Briefing sections

Now
Draft strategy brief
Frame posture, risks, and recommended moves.
Next
Export briefing kit
Prepare leadership-ready distribution formats.
Later
Customize executive briefing
Tailor the narrative for stakeholder context.

Decision

Turn the regime signal into a board-ready story.

Time horizon

Exec review

Open action: Draft strategy brief Fallback: Export briefing kit

Current posture

Turn the regime signal into a board-ready story.

Draft strategy brief Open evidence

Workflow progress

Complete plan → decisions → briefings

Strategy brief

Strategy Brief Generator

Macro-only executive narrative ready for leadership updates

Data provenanceSource: Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED)Record date: Feb 19, 2026Timestamp: Feb 23, 2026, 8:41 AMData age: 0h.Confidence cycle: Full moon (100%)

At a glance

Growth posture: move fast, capture share, and accept controlled waste.

Risk appetite is elevated. The opportunity cost of moving slowly is higher than modest inefficiency.

Focus

Priority now

Speed to market
Distribution loops
New product wedges

Monitor

Watch closely

Demand spike
Capacity strain
Competitive blitz moves

Trigger

Pivot signals

Curve flattens
Base rates trend upward

Full copy-ready narrative

Strategy Brief — Feb 19, 2026
Market climate: EXPANSION

Headline: Growth posture: move fast, capture share, and accept controlled waste.
Narrative: Risk appetite is elevated. The opportunity cost of moving slowly is higher than modest inefficiency.

Priorities:
• Speed to market
• Distribution loops
• New product wedges

Watchlist:
• Demand spike
• Capacity strain
• Competitive blitz moves

Reversal triggers:
• Curve flattens
• Base rates trend upward

Status

Ready to share in leadership updates.

Public data only. No internal company inputs required.

Export briefs

Share the report

Copy ready-made summaries for Slack, email, or slide decks, or print to PDF.

Data provenanceSource: Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED)Record date: Feb 19, 2026Timestamp: Feb 23, 2026, 8:41 AMData age: 0h.Confidence cycle: Full moon (100%)

Slack-ready brief

One pasteable block tuned for status updates.

Open email draft

Slide bullets

Compact bullets sized for quarterly planning decks.

Constraint headlines

Plain-English summary lines that can drop into status updates or exec briefings.

Headline preview

Keep the text intact when sharing to preserve sourcing.

Whether Report Headlines — 2026-02-19
Growth Mode: capital tightness 0/100 with bravery 64/100.

Execution constraints:
• Prioritize speed and distribution over polish.
• Accept controlled waste to win market share.
• Invest ahead of demand where signals are strong.

Source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org

Autonomous agent handoff

Structured JSON plus a ready-to-use prompt for PM assistants and copilots.

Agent payload preview

Keep the JSON intact to preserve provenance and timestamps.

{
  "report_date": "2026-02-19",
  "fetched_at": "2026-02-23T08:41:57.906Z",
  "source": "https://fred.stlouisfed.org",
  "regime": {
    "key": "EXPANSION",
    "label": "Growth Mode",
    "description": "Capital is cheap and risk appetite is healthy. Move quickly to capture share."
  },
  "scores": {
    "tightness": 0,
    "riskAppetite": 64,
    "baseRateUsed": "1M",
    "baseRate": 3.72,
    "curveSlope": 0.6099999999999999
  },
  "thresholds": {
    "baseRateTightness": 5,
    "tightnessRegime": 70,
    "riskAppetiteRegime": 50
  },
  "constraints": [
    "Prioritize speed and distribution over polish.",
    "Accept controlled waste to win market share.",
    "Invest ahead of demand where signals are strong."
  ],
  "data_warnings": [],
  "signals": [
    {
      "id": "BASE_RATE",
      "label": "Base rate (1M)",
      "value": 3.72,
      "unit": "%",
      "record_date": "2026-02-19",
      "fetched_at": "2026-02-23T08:41:57.906Z",
      "source_url": "https://fred.stlouisfed.org"
    },
    {
      "id": "CURVE_SLOPE",
      "label": "Curve slope (10Y - 2Y)",
      "value": 0.6099999999999999,
      "unit": "%",
      "record_date": "2026-02-19",
      "fetched_at": "2026-02-23T08:41:57.906Z",
      "source_url": "https://fred.stlouisfed.org"
    }
  ],
  "macro_signals": [
    {
      "id": "CPI_YOY",
      "label": "CPI inflation (YoY)",
      "value": 3.7,
      "unit": "%",
      "record_date": "2024-08-01",
      "fetched_at": "2024-10-02T00:00:00Z",
      "source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/"
    },
    {
      "id": "UNEMPLOYMENT_RATE",
      "label": "Unemployment rate (U-3)",
      "value": 4.1,
      "unit": "%",
      "record_date": "2024-09-01",
      "fetched_at": "2024-10-02T00:00:00Z",
      "source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.toc.htm"
    },
    {
      "id": "BBB_CREDIT_SPREAD",
      "label": "BBB credit spread (OAS)",
      "value": 1.65,
      "unit": "%",
      "record_date": "2024-10-01",
      "fetched_at": "2024-10-02T00:00:00Z",
      "source_url": "https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/BAMLC0A4CBBB"
    }
  ],
  "skills": [
    {
      "id": "regime-summary",
      "label": "Regime summary",
      "purpose": "Explain the market climate in plain English with the top macro signals.",
      "inputs": [
        "regime",
        "scores",
        "macro_signals",
        "data_warnings"
      ],
      "outputs": [
        "summary_bullets"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "constraint-translation",
      "label": "Constraint translation",
      "purpose": "Turn constraints into clear guardrails for roadmap, hiring, and pricing.",
      "inputs": [
        "constraints",
        "thresholds",
        "signals"
      ],
      "outputs": [
        "constraint_brief"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "pm-questions",
      "label": "PM question log",
      "purpose": "Surface open questions the PM must answer before acting.",
      "inputs": [
        "constraints",
        "signals",
        "macro_signals"
      ],
      "outputs": [
        "pm_questions"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "pm_handoff": {
    "decision_focus": "Use constraints to validate roadmap, hiring, and pricing moves.",
    "briefing_actions": [
      "Summarize the regime in plain English.",
      "Call out constraints that block or enable new initiatives.",
      "List open questions for the product manager."
    ]
  }
}

Jira, Confluence, and Linear

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Linear issue description

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Executive brief

Executive Briefing Suite

Board-ready posture summary and guardrails from public signals

Data provenanceSource: Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED)Record date: Feb 19, 2026Timestamp: Feb 23, 2026, 8:41 AMData age: 0h.Confidence cycle: Full moon (100%)

Board summary

Speed and share capture outperform over-optimization.

Operate

Guardrails

Do this by default

Fund growth bets with clear distribution upside.
Accept measured inefficiency to gain momentum.
Invest in scaling teams before bottlenecks hit.

Decide

Decision calls

Use these ready-made stances

Hiring: add growth capacity ahead of demand.
Pricing: prioritize adoption and market penetration.
Roadmap: accelerate new product lines.

Watch

Reversal triggers

Signals to pivot quickly

Risk appetite drops
Rates move into tight band

Guardrail checklist

Ready to share in executive reviews.

Full copy-ready executive memo

Executive Brief — Feb 19, 2026
Market climate: EXPANSION

Summary: Speed and share capture outperform over-optimization.

Decision guardrails:
• Fund growth bets with clear distribution upside.
• Accept measured inefficiency to gain momentum.
• Invest in scaling teams before bottlenecks hit.

Decision templates:
• Hiring: add growth capacity ahead of demand.
• Pricing: prioritize adoption and market penetration.
• Roadmap: accelerate new product lines.

Reversal triggers:
• Risk appetite drops
• Rates move into tight band

CXO outputs

Executive function replacement map

Data provenanceSource: Whether internal backlogRecord date: StaticTimestamp: Static catalogData age: Static.Confidence cycle: New moon (28%)

Each module below translates market climate signals into CXO-ready artifacts. Use them to align finance, operations, and product leadership on a shared macro posture.

CFO / Finance Strategy

Capital posture and runway constraints tied to macro climates.

•Runway, burn, and capital efficiency guardrails sourced to Treasury signals.
•Budget planning export with market climate narrative and citation-ready sources.
•Capital availability watchlist with reversal triggers and risk flags.

COO / Operating Strategy

Company-wide execution posture and operating cadence shifts.

•Operating constraint board aligned to climate shifts.
•Cross-functional planning checklist to enforce guardrails.
•Cadence guidance for launch timing, vendor spend, and scaling pace.

CTO & CPO / Strategic Planning

Product and engineering posture aligned to macro physics.

•Roadmap posture toggles (growth vs. efficiency) with market climate guidance.
•Hiring and pricing decision templates tied to live sensors.
•Infrastructure spend guardrails and migration timing signals.

Head of Strategy

Executive briefing and narrative alignment across leadership.

•One-page executive brief with market climate summary, risks, and reversal triggers.
•Planning memo generator for leadership syncs with copy-ready language.
•Historical context pack to explain why posture changed over time.

Command center

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Current posture

Turn the regime signal into a board-ready story.

Draft strategy brief

Action playbook · Briefings

Turn the regime signal into a board-ready story.

Complete plan → decisions → briefings

Strategy Brief Generator

🎯Priority now

👀Watch closely

↩Pivot signals

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Executive Briefing Suite

🛡️Guardrails

🧭Decision calls

↩Reversal triggers

Executive function replacement map

Command center

Priority now

Watch closely

Pivot signals

Guardrails

Decision calls

Reversal triggers