SunnyHistorical snapshot • Data as of Dec 31, 2025
Scenarios
Move two sliders to see what the guidance would be in a different week.
Checked Oct 9, 2026, 6:29 PM UTC
SunnyHistorical snapshot • Data as of Dec 31, 2025
Move two sliders to see what the guidance would be in a different week.
Checked Oct 9, 2026, 6:29 PM UTC
Four preset scenarios. Each sets the short-term borrowing rate and the recession warning gauge (10-year minus 2-year rate).
Funding pressure above 70 and risk appetite below 50: Freezing. Above 70 and above 50: Cloudy. Below 70 and below 50: Stormy. Below 70 and above 50: Sunny.
Conditions
Sunny→SunnySame conditions as this week
Resume 66Change line 70Pause 76
This week: 43
Pause 44Change line 50Resume 54
This week: 68
Guidance in this scenario
"Land grab."
Tone: Low rates, investors eager · Money is cheap and investors want growth. Moving fast is worth some waste.
| Area | Action now | Pause if |
|---|---|---|
| Hiring | Approve roles tied to revenue or reliability one at a time, and hold everything else | Funding pressure rises above 76 or risk appetite falls below 44 |
| Spending | Before you approve any optional spend, work out how long it takes to pay back | Funding pressure rises above 76 |
| Fundraising | If a raise is in your plan, run the process now rather than waiting | Risk appetite falls below 44 or funding pressure rises above 76 |
| Roadmap | Ship the product bets that move activation or retention first | Risk appetite falls below 44 or two weekly readings in a row come in weaker |
| New bets | Fund each new bet one stage at a time, and write down what would stop it | Risk appetite falls below 44 or funding pressure rises above 76 |